Rethinking the World: Great Power Strategies and International OrderCornell University Press, 2005 - 253페이지 Stunning shifts in the worldviews of states mark the modern history of international affairs: how do societies think about—and rethink—international order and security? Japan's "opening," German conquest, American internationalism, Maoist independence, and Gorbachev's "new thinking" molded international conflict and cooperation in their eras. How do we explain such momentous changes in foreign policy—and in other cases their equally surprising absence? The nature of strategic ideas, Jeffrey W. Legro argues, played a critical and overlooked role in these transformations. Big changes in foreign policies are rare because it is difficult for individuals to overcome the inertia of entrenched national mentalities. Doing so depends on a particular nexus of policy expectations, national experience, and ready replacement ideas. In a sweeping comparative history, Legro explores the sources of strategy in the United States and Germany before and after the world wars, in Tokugawa Japan, and in the Soviet Union. He charts the likely future of American primacy and a rising China in the coming century. Rethinking the World tells us when and why we can expect changes in the way states think about the world, why some ideas win out over others, and why some leaders succeed while others fail in redirecting grand strategy. |
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... period is higher than both expected probability of success in the second period and expected conditional probability of success after a failure in the first period as follows E[p2|F,2] < E[p2 ] < E[p2|S,2]. (2) The different ...
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목차
Great Power Ideas and Change | 1 |
FIGURES | 14 |
Explaining Change and Continuity | 33 |
The Ebb and Flow of American Internationalism | 59 |
Germany from Outsider to Insider | 84 |
Overhaul of Orthodoxy in Tokugawa Japan and the Soviet Union | 122 |
The Next Century | 167 |
The Transformation of Economic Ideas | 189 |
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alternative Antimilitarism argued argument armed expansion bakufu beliefs Cambridge University Press century challenge China Cold Cold War collective ideas continuity Cornell University Cornell University Press countries Culture daimyo defeat domestic politics dominant ideas dominant orthodoxy dynamics economic efforts Europe European example expectations explain factors favored force foreign policy ideas geopolitical German German foreign policy Germany's Gorbachev Hitler ideas and events ideational individual influence institutions integration integrationist interaction interest groups International Politics international relations international society internationalism internationalist interwar period involved Isolationism Ithaca Jack Snyder Jansen Japan Japanese leaders League of Nations Meiji Meiji Restoration military national ideas old thinking outcomes peace Princeton University Princeton University Press regime replacement ideas revolution role Roosevelt sakoku seclusion shape shift social Soviet Union strategy Stresemann ternational threat tion tional Tokugawa transformation transnational treaty U.S. foreign policy United Versailles Weimar Weimar Republic Wilson Wohlforth World War II York