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domestic economic activity. There is no indication that Chinese planners have even begun to experiment with giving their enterprises the same degree of flexibility in foreign trade as in Hungary and soine other CPE's."

Finally, assuming that China was assigned a quota of $1 billion, at least 75 percent could be paid in the Chinese currency RMB. Originally, IMF requirements required at least 25 percent of the quota (or 10 percent of net official gold and dollar holdings) to be paid in gold. Recently this requirement has been moderated:

The fund has insisted on the subscription of some gold, although sometimes only in symbolic amounts, until 1973 when it considered an application by a coun'try that held no gold and could not obtain it from official sources.'

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In conclusion, given the uncertainty about the future shape of the world monetary system and our lack of knowledge about China's intentions, it is difficult to assess the possibility of future PRC membership in the IMF and World Bank. About all that can be said with assurance is that the IMF's attitude about relationships with CPE's is one of cautious ambiguity. Again we quote from Joseph Gold:

It is legitimate to conclude that the Fund has applied its criteria for membership with flexibility and has been guided by an unformulated policy of readiness to accept as wide a membership as possible."

CONCLUSION

China's practices in financing trade with non-Communist countries are in substantial contrast to those of the other CPE's.

Despite the fact that the PRC has a greater share of its trade with the West than other CPE's, the PRC has been more reluctant to adopt as many Western banking practices as the other CPE's. Many of the practices that have been adopted have been modified with the general result that the PRC maintains somewhat more control over its international finance with the West than other CPE's do. Examples of this range from requiring negotiation of letters of credit in China both for exports and imports to using the renminbi to denominate trade

contracts.

Most importantly, the PRC has, as yet, been unwilling to follow other CPE's in adopting Western banking techniques such as setting up European branches to engage in archetypical banking activities such as general trade financing and active participation on the Eurocurrency market.

On the other hand, PRC international financial practices have changed in the last few years-generally in the direction of adopting more "traditional" practices. The Chinese FTC's have been more flexible on various letter of credit provisions and they have become more willing to denominate trade contracts in Western currencies. Most important of all, of course, the PRC has begun to accept credit, albeit in moderation and often indirectly.

Whether these add up to significant steps toward substantially more aggressive and more traditional international financial activities is

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much more problematical. Recent events may be short-run adaptations to unexpected foreign trade deficits (i.e., the large agricultural purchases following the poor 1972 harvest) or to one-shot purchases of capital equipment. On the other hand, they may portend a more farreaching change. The conclusion depends on one's view about China's future emphasis on foreign trade and the policymakers' views about how much foreign equipment will be needed to carry out industrial development plans. If such imports are expected to be large, it will imply either rapidly increasing PRC exports or seeking some form of trade finance. In either case, more flexible international financial practices can be anticipated.

ACQUISITION AND DIFFUSION OF TECHNOLOGY

IN CHINA

By HANS HEYmann, Jr.

SUMMARY

Evolution

The People's Republic of China has exhibited wide swings in its receptivity to foreign technology in the course of its 25-year history, oscillating between enthusiastic acceptance and determined rejection. In the 1950's-the era of close Sino-Soviet cooperation-China eagerly accepted what was undoubtedly the most comprehensive technology transfer in modern history. During that decade the Chinese obtained from the Soviet Union the foundation of a modern industrial system. In the process, however, the Chinese became heavily dependent on Soviet tutelage and were induced to adopt a Soviet model of forced industrialization inappropriate to China's resource endowment. In the late 1950's, the Chinese leaders began to reject this model and the overwhelming Soviet influence. The Great Leap Forward marked the reaffirmation of a more traditional Chinese nativism and self-assertion. Foreign technology and expertise were rebuffed and a policy of selfreliance instituted. Inept policies, successive crop failures, and the sudden withdrawal of Soviet technicians in 1960 combined to throw the Chinese economy into disarray.

A shift in the early sixties toward priority for agriculture and a return to a more permissive technology-import policy helped to revive the economy. While continuing to stress self-reliance, the leadership undertook selective purchases of European and Japanese plants and equipment, primarily as prototypes for learning and copying. By 1965, the economy had largely recovered from its earlier setbacks, only to be disrupted once more by the turmoil of the Cultural Revolution. The intense antiforeign campaign of that period again sharply curtailed acquisition of foreign technology, and by 1969 machinery imports had dropped to less than one-fourth of the peak levels attained 10 years earlier.

Since 1970, the Chinese leaders have turned outward once again for the acquisition of capital equipment and know-how on a substantial scale. No longer confining themselves to prototypes, the Chinese have purchased large numbers of complete plants and industrial complexes to enhance output in a half-dozen basic industries, primarily metallurgy, petrochemicals, and energy. Machinery imports, therefore, have risen more rapidly in recent years than during any previous period.

Self-reliance continues to be stressed, nevertheless, with at least three objects in view: (1) to minimize China's strategic and financial dependence on foreign countries; (2) to create a self-confident "new Maoist man" and guard against his contamination by alien influences;

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and (3) to mobilize local savings so as to economize scarce foreign exchange and state investment outlays. The pursuit of self-reliance in these terms has enabled the Chinese to achieve a high degree of technical and economic independence of the outside world. China's own production of machinery and equipment is now so large that imported technology represents only a small fraction (perhaps 6 to 8 percent) of its overall technology accretion. In qualitative terms, however, technology imports are still a key factor in the development of the more sophisticated sectors of China's industrial production system.

Modes of Production

Three distinct modes of production coexist in China today: scientific laboratory industry, urban industry, and rural industry. Their interest in, and access to, foreign technology also differ sharply.

SCIENTIFIC LABORATORY INDUSTRY

Is an outgrowth of Mao's insistence that all research be linked to production. It is made up of small, scientist-guided pilot plants and laboratory workshops established within or under sponsorship of universities and research institutes. Laboratory industry focuses on trial production at the technological frontier, but it also produces sophisticated components in quantity, especially in electronics. Its principal aim is to achieve self-reliance in high technology. Thus, while it greatly values international scientific contacts and information, its demand for foreign technology is relatively small.

URBAN INDUSTRY

The principal claimant for foreign technology, consists of two subgroups:

(a) Large-scale basic and military industry, centrally controlled. This group includes all of the capital goods plants originally obtained from the Russians and subsequently expanded through large state investments. These plants massproduce standardized output of tried and proven design. Lacking engineering experience, they tend not to be highly innovative. Their product quality and production efficiency stand to benefit greatly from the importation of modern process equipment and complete plants.

(b) Medium- to small-scale manufacturing enterprises, under provincial or municipal control. Most of these evolved out of simple workshops or machine shops established in the prewar era of private sector industrial development in China. They possess a depth of design and engineering experience that makes them much more dynamic and innovative than the large central plants. They enjoy considerable decisionmaking autonomy in upgrading their own technical capabilities and in promoting new product development within their own regions. But the more important campaigns to diffuse technology across provinical lines are largely directed from the center. The most advanced plants in this group do have access to foreign technology, principally in the form of production equipment and prototypes for adaptation or copying. In short, both of these urban industry subgroups are major end-users of foreign technology, with interests extending across the entire technology spectrum.

RURAL INDUSTRY

Technologically the least sophisticated, is entirely locally directed, operating at the level of the county and below. Its output, mostly nonstandardized and of low quality, is mainly aimed at the needs of agriculture-chemical fertilizers, cement, energy, farm machinery, and implements. The rural production units, of which there are roughly

half a million, derive their technological advances solely from a trickledown process of internal diffusion from higher to lower economic administrative levels. Foreign technology has no significant role to play in this process.

In sum, for Chinese industry as a whole, the highly structured process of internal diffusion appears far more important as a source of technological advancement than the technology acquired from abroad. Foreign technology flows in only to the most advanced plants and activities. Even there, it is often used as much for training and demonstration as for increasing output. The Chinese leadership seems willing to accept some short run retardation of growth in order to attain in the long run the broader social goals of "mass participation" and "selfreliance."

Forms of Acquisition

For China today, the more significant forms of foreign technology acquisition are industrial exhibitions, prototype copying, and purchase of complete plants.

INDUSTRIAL EXHIBITIONS

Held in China by almost all advanced exporting countries, have proliferated in recent years. Thirty-two such exhibitions have been held since 1971 and six more are scheduled for 1975. Although exhibitors have found these ventures to be high in cost and low in commercial returns, faith in the existence of a "vast China market" nevertheless propels them to demonstrate their best, and to spice their displays with free lessons in technology: educational seminars, films, technical data, and glossy catalogs. For the Chinese, these shows are thus highly attractive. They make their search for relevant foreign technology remarkably easy and offer good opportunities for purchasing display models at favorable prices, for purpose of analysis, "reverse engineering," and copying.

PROTOTYPE COPYING

Extensively and effectively practiced by the Chinese, but it has serious limitations. Where the technological gap between originator and copier is great, extracting the technology embodied in a sophisticated design and absorbing it into an unsophisticated industry is often infeasible. Even with considerable assistance from the originator-his data and his experience-the copier's task is formidable and timeconsuming. But since 1960, the Chinese have systematically rejected such assistance, fearing that it might hamper development of their own creativity. Today, however, the rejection is no longer total. Foreign technicians are once again being admitted, particularly to supervise erection of complex imported plants. The Chinese now reluctantly recognize that such assistance is often indispensable to the effective absorption of technology.

IMPORTATION OF COMPLETE PLANTS

In the past 3 years has become the principal form of technology acquisition. Contracts worth almost $2.7 billion have been let, principally to Japan, France, and West Germany, with plant deliveries extending through 1977. The purchases, however, are centered on only a few industries: petrochemicals, steel, power, and petroleum. Although these are fundamentally important, many other industries are simi

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